机器智能将会在2029年达到人类的水平

机器智能将会在2029年达到人类的水平

做最重要的事情，并且只有最重要的事情---题记

在过年回家的火车上，有一本《科幻杂志》吸引了我的兴趣。刚过了而立之年，还没有过上小康生活的我，早已对科幻失去了儿时的兴趣。这本杂志吸引我的地方是那份很有分量的序言。由于找不到电子版，我这里只大致把作者的观点重述一下。

作者的观点是：智慧与智慧载体的组成成分无关，而是与这些载体的组成方式有关。还好刚写到这句，我找到这篇文章，大家可以在这里查看：上帝死了？——人工智能的复杂性会最终超越人脑么？

刚才在digg的推荐列表中，看到了这篇文章：Machines 'to match man by 2029'。

2029年似乎是个很遥远的未来；大多数人对于此类预言的反应估计和我一样，看看标题就够了。不过因为上面文章还在我大脑中有些印象，所以我看了一下原文。

也推荐你看一下，因为预言者是 “US National Academy of Engineering” 选中对21世纪重大科技有影响力的18个人之一，这其中也包括google创始人：Larry Page 和 基因工程的先行者：Dr Craig Venter。

下面是原文：

Machines 'to match man by 2029'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7248875.stm

Machines will achieve human-level artificial intelligence by 2029, a leading US inventor has predicted.

Humanity is on the brink of advances that will see tiny robots implanted in people's brains to make them more intelligent, said Ray Kurzweil.

The engineer believes machines and humans will eventually merge through devices implanted in the body to boost intelligence and health.

"It's really part of our civilisation," Mr Kurzweil explained.

"But that's not going to be an alien invasion of intelligent machines to displace us."

Machines were already doing hundreds of things humans used to do, at human levels of intelligence or better, in many different areas, he said.

Man versus machine

"I've made the case that we will have both the hardware and the software to achieve human level artificial intelligence with the broad suppleness of human intelligence including our emotional intelligence by 2029," he said.

We'll have intelligent nanobots go into our brains... to make us smarter

Ray Kurzweil

"We're already a human machine civilisation; we use our technology to expand our physical and mental horizons and this will be a further extension of that."

Humans and machines would eventually merge, by means of devices embedded in people's bodies to keep them healthy and improve their intelligence, predicted Mr Kurzweil.

"We'll have intelligent nanobots go into our brains through the capillaries and interact directly with our biological neurons," he told BBC News.


The nanobots, he said, would "make us smarter, remember things better and automatically go into full emergent virtual reality environments through the nervous system".

Mr Kurzweil is one of 18 influential thinkers chosen to identify the great technological challenges facing humanity in the 21st century by the US National Academy of Engineering.

The experts include google founder Larry Page and genome pioneer Dr Craig Venter.

The 14 challenges were announced at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Boston, which concludes on Monday.